Diagnostic challenges in a patient with dengue shock syndrome presenting with acute meningoencephalitis.

Dengue is a systemic viral infection, and clinical findings vary from asymptomatic to life-threatening, including shock and neurological complications. Despite efforts in vector control, the disease continues to spread worldwide, and the number of annual dengue infections is estimated to be 390 million. For patients with severe dengue, early diagnosis is important; however, owing to the wide range of symptoms and severity, diagnosis can be difficult. Herein, we report the case of a 24-year-old man from Vietnam who was found to have dengue shock syndrome complicated by meningoencephalitis, even though he did not show the typical clinical manifestations of dengue infection. He was transported to our hospital by ambulance because of fever and altered mental status. Brain magnetic resonance imaging revealed hyperintensities in the bilateral thalamus and brainstem on the T2 sequence. After hospitalization, polymerase chain reaction testing of cerebrospinal fluid, serum, and urine revealed the presence of dengue virus serotype 2. This confirmed the diagnosis of dengue encephalitis. The patient was discharged on day 49 with impaired abduction of the left eye and urinary retention. In this case, the initial differential diagnosis was broad because the patient was unable to provide any medical history owing to altered mental status. In addition, the fact that he did not show the characteristic symptoms of dengue infection initially made the diagnosis very difficult. In conclusion, dengue fever should always be considered as a part of the differential diagnosis when a patient from an endemic area presents with fever and impaired consciousness.

A comparative study of NS1 and IgM using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and immunochromatography test for detection of dengue.

Background: Dengue is the most common arboviral infection that spreads by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes, and is quickly gaining prominence as a major mosquito-borne viral disease. One of the major public health issues is dengue fever (DF), which can also cause dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Therefore, this study focused on comparison of dengue antigen non-structural protein (NS1) and immunoglobulin M (IgM) using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and immunochromatography test (ICT) for detection of dengue. Method: In a Tertiary Care Hospital (TCH), sociodemographic status of probable dengue cases from February 2021 to February 2022 was studied. The results of the Dengue Antigen NS1 and IgM ICT, Dengue NS1 Microlisa, and Dengue IgM Microlisa were compared in order to determine the effective one at managing patients and preventing complications like DHF and DSS. Results: In distribution of 100 ICT reactive samples, 50% were NS1 reactive and 50% were IgM reactive. One hundred ICT reactive samples were further processed for IgM antibody capture enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (MAC-ELISA) for both NS1 and IgM. Sensitivity and specificity of NS1 ICT were 89.3% and 71.4% and that of IgM ICT was 88% and 64.5%. As a result of antigenic cross-reactivity, false positive cases were reported. Platelet count of the patients was correlated with an optical density (OD) value of ELISA for both NS1 and IgM. In the present study, patients having low platelet count showed high OD value. Conclusion: In cases of severe thrombocytopenia (platelet count <50000), early diagnosis by screening ICT and confirmation by ELISA (NS1 and IgM) would reduce the complications like DHF and DSS.

Neurological Complications in Dengue Among Males of the Adult Age Group.

Neurological problems are more frequently linked to dengue, a mosquito-transmitted virus common in tropical areas. This review study thoroughly examines the effects of dengue on adult males' neurological systems. Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) or dengue shock syndrome (DSS) can develop in severe cases of dengue fever caused by the dengue virus (DENV). Unsettlingly, it is thought that a sizable portion of DENV infections impact the central nervous system (CNS), which calls into question the former theory that the DENV is not neurotropic. This review dissects the many neurological manifestations of dengue, spanning from encephalopathy, encephalitis, and other CNS implications to peripheral neuromuscular issues, through the systematic analysis of publications gathered from PubMed. The essay emphasizes the immunological reactions brought on by DENV infections and offers a deeper understanding of the pathophysiology. Given that they exhibit similar first symptoms, Zika and chikungunya are two more illnesses that must be distinguished from dengue. The mainstay of current diagnostic methods is serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) tests, although supportive care is still used. This review highlights the importance of tracking neurological symptoms in dengue patients and encourages more studies in this area.

Updates in the Management of Dengue Shock Syndrome: A Comprehensive Review.

Dengue is a very serious public health problem that can manifest a wide range of symptoms from asymptomatic to fatal conditions, such as dengue shock syndrome (DSS). It is a life-threatening mosquito-borne viral infection widely spread in tropical areas. Dengue virus transmission occurs from an infected Aedes mosquito to humans. Various factors are responsible for the occurrence of the disease, such as viral load, age of the host, immune status of the host, and genetic variability. Dengue infection occurs in three phases: febrile, critical, and recovery. The febrile phase lasts for seven days and manifests symptoms such as high-grade fever, headache, arthralgia, and backache, and in some cases, the upper respiratory tract and gastrointestinal tract are also involved. Severe dengue is characterized by endothelial dysfunction that causes vascular permeability and plasma leakage. The fundamental mechanisms of these immune pathologies are not yet known. Dengue manifests various complications such as dengue encephalopathy, encephalitis, stroke, ocular involvement, acute transverse myelitis, myalgia, and cerebellar syndrome, but the most commonly seen is liver involvement. Dengue is managed supportively because there are no proven curative treatments. The cornerstone of care during the critical period of dengue is prudent fluid resuscitation. The first fluid of preference is a crystalloid. Prophylactic transfusion of platelets is not advised. The occurrence of four antigenically different dengue virus serotypes, each able to elicit a cross-reactive and disease-enhancing antibody response against the other three serotypes, has made the creation of the dengue vaccine a difficult undertaking. The development of a dengue vaccine has faced significant challenges due to a lack of the best animal models and a variety of immunological conditions in people, particularly in endemic locations. Dengvaxia is a live attenuated vaccine, which was developed by Sanofi. It is made up of four chimeric vaccine viruses produced by Vero cells.

Dengue Fever Presenting As Acute Febrile Illness In Neonates: A Case Series From Pakistant.

Dengue fever is a mosquito-borne disease caused by flavivirus. It primarily infects people living in tropical and subtropical areas and can be transmitted vertically or horizontally to new-borns. We discuss the clinical spectrum, treatment, and outcomes of five neonates who presented with dengue fever at Aga Khan Hospital for Women in Karimabad, Karachi, Pakistan, during the 2021 post- monsoon season (October to December). Dengue infection was confirmed via positive NS1 antigen test. All new-borns had fever, flushing, and thrombocytopenia. Capillary leak syndrome and haemorrhagic complications occurred in one case. Two babies required oxygen support, with one mortality. Due to the severity of the disease in this population, we suggest that dengue fever should be evaluated as a differential diagnosis in neonates with sepsis and thrombocytopenia, especially in high-risk or endemic areas. Critical management strategies for neonatal dengue fever are the same as those for other paediatric patients and include judicious use of intravenous fluids and inotropes.

Association of different blood groups in patients with Dengue fever and their relationship with the severity of the illness.

Objective: To determine the association of different blood groups in patients with Dengue fever and their relationship with the severity of the illness. Methods: A hospital-based descriptive study was conducted in the Dengue Isolation Ward of Lady Reading Hospital Peshawar from March 2020 to September 2020. Patients with Dengue fever were included in the study. The severity of the illness was categorized as "Dengue fever (DF)", "Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF)", and "Dengue shock syndrome (DSS)". The patients' blood groups were determined as A, B, AB, and O groups. All the data were recorded and analyzed using SPSS® version 23. Chi-square (χ2) and student t-test were applied, and a p-value of ≤0.05 was considered significant. Results: Out of 160 patients, 119(74.4%) were males; the patient's mean age was 38.09±15.68 SD, IQR=25 years. Greater proportion (28%) of the young men (up to 40 years) was affected compared to 9% young women. Fever (99%) and body aches (96%) were the most common presentation of DF, complicated by bleeding in 30.6% and shock in 9.4% of the patients. The majority (63.1%) of the patients had DF; 27.5% had DHF, and 9.4% had DSS. Sixty three (39.4%) patients had blood Group-B and 5.6% had Group-AB (p=0.97). The proportion of patients with different blood groups and the type/severity of the DF were almost identical except the fact that none of the patient with group AB had DSS. There was significant gender difference of hemoglobin (p=0.008, 95%CI=0.439, 2.844), hematocrit (p=0.012, 95%CI=0.00974, 0.07946); and Alanine Aminotransferase levels (p=0.002, 95%CI=-332.032, -72.233). Conclusion: Patients with blood Group-B were more frequent and AB was least commonly affected by the Dengue-virus infections. However, no association was found between a particular blood group and disease severity. Greater proportions of the younger men had Dengue infections.

Dengue, Chikungunya, and Zika: The Causes and Threats of Emerging and Re-emerging Arboviral Diseases.

The recent emergence and re-emergence of viral infections transmitted by vectors, Zika, chikungunya, dengue, and others, is a cause for international concern. Here, we provide a summary of the current understanding of the transmission, clinical features, diagnosis, global burden, and the likelihood of future epidemics by these viruses. Arboviruses transmitted by mosquitoes are challenging to diagnose and can have surprising clinical complications. Dengue, chikungunya, and Zika are the most important diseases caused by arboviruses worldwide, especially in tropical and subtropical regions. These are transmitted to humans by day-biting Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes. In India, the increase in the incidence of dengue and chikungunya cases is primarily linked to the dissemination of Aedes aegypti. A rapid and accurate diagnosis is paramount for effectively controlling dengue outbreaks. As there is no vaccination or specific treatment available for these viruses, vector control is the only comprehensive solution available.

Dengue overview: An updated systemic review.

Dengue is caused by the dengue virus (DENVs) infection and clinical manifestations include dengue fever (DF), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Due to a lack of antiviral drugs and effective vaccines, several therapeutic and control strategies have been proposed. A systemic literature review was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines to select proper references to give an overview of DENV infection. Results indicate that understanding the virus characteristics and epidemiology are essential to gain the basic and clinical knowledge as well as dengue disseminated pattern and status. Different factors and mechanisms are thought to be involved in the presentation of DHF and DSS, including antibody-dependent enhancement, immune dysregulation, viral virulence, host genetic susceptibility, and preexisting dengue antibodies. This study suggests that dissecting pathogenesis and risk factors as well as developing different types of therapeutic and control strategies against DENV infection are urgently needed.

A short communication of 2022 dengue outbreak in Bangladesh: a continuous public health threat.

Dengue virus infection, a highly prominent health concern, has caused many health complications, positive cases, and deaths in Bangladesh in previous years. However, the prevalence of this infection and fatality rates in 2022 has shattered all prior records. The dengue virus vector, mosquitoes, found a high prevalence of infection due to the weather's favorable conditions for breeding in the months of June and July. While there is presently no particular vaccination for dengue infection, awareness of its epidemiology, pathogenesis, signs, and symptoms may aid in the development of improved diagnostic and treatment strategies. The government should also improve the infrastructure of cities to make prevent mosquito breeding and the spread of dengue infection.

Acute liver failure in a young patient with dengue shock syndrome: a case report.

Dengue fever is caused by dengue virus, which has four different serotypes and is transmitted by the Aedes mosquitos. This disease is endemic to Southeast Asian countries, including Nepal. Liver involvement in dengue is a crucial feature, and the effect ranges from an asymptomatic rise in liver enzymes to the development of acute liver failure. Acute liver failure often results in multiorgan dysfunction including hemodynamic instability, renal failure, cerebral edema, and even death because of shock. Prompt diagnosis and management are necessary to prevent complications. However, there is no proven proper treatment for this condition, and the only treatment modality is to prevent the symptoms. We presented the case of a young female with dengue fever who developed a life-threatening acute liver failure because of dengue shock syndrome.

Vitamin D Deficiency (VDD) and Susceptibility towards Severe Dengue Fever-A Prospective Cross-Sectional Study of Hospitalized Dengue Fever Patients from Lahore, Pakistan.

Dengue is a mosquito-borne flaviviral serious febrile illness, most common in the tropical and subtropical regions including Pakistan. Vitamin D is a strong immunomodulator affecting both the innate and adaptive immune responses and plays a pivotal role in pathogen-defense mechanisms. There has been considerable interest in the possible role of vitamin D in dengue viral (DENV) infection. In the present prospective cross-sectional study, we assessed a possible association between serum vitamin D deficiency (VDD) and susceptibility towards severe dengue fever (DF) illness. Serum vitamin D levels were measured at the time of hospitalization in 97 patients diagnosed with dengue fever (DF), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) or dengue shock syndrome (DSS) at Mayo Hospital, King Edward Medical University, Lahore, PK, from 16 November 2021 to 15 January 2022. In terms of disease severity, 37 (38.1%) patients were DF, 52 (53.6%) were DHF grade 1 and 2, and 8 (8.2%) were DSS. The results revealed that most patients (75 (77.3%)) were vitamin-D-deficient (i.e., serum level < 20 ng/mL), including 27 (73.0%) in DF, 41 (78.8%) in DHF grade 1 and 2, and 7 (87.5%) in DSS. The degree of VDD was somewhat higher in DSS patients as compared to DF and DHF grade 1 and 2 patients. Overall, serum vitamin D levels ranged from 4.2 to 109.7 ng/mL, and the median (IQR) was in the VDD range, i.e., 12.2 (9.1, 17.8) ng/mL. Our results suggest that there may be a possible association between VDD and susceptibility towards severe dengue illness. Hence, maintaining sufficient vitamin D levels in the body either through diet or supplementation may help provide adequate immune protection against severe dengue fever illness. Further research is warranted.

Study on dengue severity in diabetic and non-diabetic population of tertiary care hospital by assessing inflammatory indicators.

Background: Dengue fever is a highly endemic tropical infectious disease that is quickly spreading over the world. Diabetes Mellitus has been linked to chronic inflammation. This present study was designed to compare the severity of dengue infection among diabetic and non-diabetic populations. Methods: A prospective observational study was conducted on 40 patients (20 diabetic and 20 non-diabetic) who suffered from dengue infection. The study involved the collection of data of the dengue patients includes patient's demographic details, medical condition as well as biochemical investigations. Results: Dengue-infected individuals with diabetes showed greater CRP, Endocan levels, IL-8 and Perfusion Index than those without diabetes (CRP; 35.308 ± 1.32 vs. 18.6365 ± 0.64) mg/dl (p≤ 0.001) (Endocan 42.316 ± 1.46vs. 32.839 ± 0.33), ng/dl (p≤ 0.001), (142.98 ± 1.05 vs 103.69 ± 0.64) (p ≤ 0.001) and (3.695 ± 0.18 vs. 1.98 ± 0.08) (p ≤ 0.001) respectively. Conclusion: In conclusion the results indicate that prognosis of DHF grade II with diabetes mellitus tends to be more prone to bleeding disorder and can result into morbidity and mortality considering by triggering of the various inflammatory cascade resulting in hyperglycaemia and poor glycemic control.

Epidemiology of dengue in SAARC territory: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Dengue is one of the common arboviral infections and is a public health problem in South East Asia. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the prevalence and distribution of dengue in SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) countries. METHODS: The PubMed, PubMed Central, Embase and Scopus databases were searched for relevant studies. Statistical analysis on data extracted from the selected studied was conducted using the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis Software (CMA) version 3 software package. Proportions were used to estimate the outcome with a 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Across all studies, among cases of suspected dengue, 30.7% were confirmed dengue cases (proportion: 0.307, 95% CI: 0.277-0.339). The seroprevalence of dengue immunoglobulin (Ig)G, IgM or both (IgM and IgG) antibodies and dengue NS1 antigen was 34.6, 34.2, 29.0 and 24.1%, respectively. Among the different strains of dengue, dengue virus (DENV) strains DENV-1, DENV-2, DENV-3 and DENV-4 accounted for 21.8, 41.2, 14.7 and 6.3% of cases, respectively. The prevalence of dengue fever, dengue hemorrhagic fever and dengue shock syndrome was 80.5, 18.2 and 1.5%, respectively. Fever was a commonly reported symptom, and thrombocytopenia was present in 44.7% of cases. Mortality was reported in 1.9% of dengue cases. CONCLUSIONS: Dengue is a common health problem in South East Asia with high seroprevalence. DENV-2 was found to be the most common strain causing infection, and most dengue cases were dengue fever. In addition, thrombocytopenia was reported in almost half of the dengue cases.

Efficacy of Dengue Vaccines in the Prevention of Severe Dengue in Children: A Systematic Review.

Dengue is a vector-borne disease caused by the dengue virus (DENV) and is a major health concern worldwide, particularly in regions of endemic disease. Dengue usually presents as a self-limited febrile illness. In some cases, more severe forms with hemorrhage and shock can occur, and children are especially prone to develop it. These forms can be lethal without appropriate management, and no antiviral treatment exists today. In the absence of a curative treatment for dengue, its clinical prevention remains essential. One vaccine - the chimeric yellow fever-dengue-tetravalent dengue vaccine (CYD-TDV) - has been approved for use in some populations, and several others are currently in development, including Takeda's tetravalent dengue vaccine candidate (TAK-003). This study is a systematic review of the current literature realized to evaluate the efficacy of the dengue vaccines in preventing severe dengue in children. This review focuses on the vaccines CYD-TDV and TAK-003. This systematic review was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. PubMed, PubMed Central (PMC), Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE), Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar were the databases used to find the relevant data. The articles were selected using specific inclusion and exclusion criteria, and quality appraisal was realized with standardized quality assessment tools. Overall, our study shows that the dengue vaccines CYD-TDV and TAK-003 confer protection against severe dengue in children. Some distinctions exist depending on the vaccine type, the age, and the dengue serostatus of patients. While demonstrating encouraging results, this review also emphasizes the need for more in-depth studies about the safety and efficacy of dengue vaccines.

Association of dengue virus non-structural-1 protein with disease severity: a brief review.

Dengue virus (DENV) was discovered by P. M. Ashburn and Charles F. Craig in 1907. Evidence of dengue-like illness was observed before 1907 and DENV epidemics have been reported from different parts of the world since then, with increased morbidity rates every year. DENV typically causes a febrile illness that ranges from mild asymptomatic infection to fatal dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) and/or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Host mechanisms through which mild infection progresses to the fatal forms are still unknown. Few factors have been associated to aid severe disease acquisition, DENV non-structural 1 (NS1) protein being one of them. NS1 is a highly conserved glycoprotein among the Flavivirus and is often used as a biomarker for dengue diagnosis. This review focuses on assessing the role of NS1 in severe dengue. In this review, hospital-based studies on the association of dengue NS1 with severe dengue from all over the world have been assessed and analysed and the majority of the studies positively correlate high NS1 levels with DHF/DSS acquisition. The review also discusses a few experimental studies on NS1 that have shown it contributes to dengue pathogenesis. This review assesses the role of NS1 and disease severity from hospital-based studies and aims to provide better insights on the kinetics and dynamics of DENV infection with respect to NS1 for a better understanding of the role of NS1 in dengue.

Acute acalculous cholecystitis in a pediatric dengue hemorrhagic fever patient: A case report, lesson learned from limited resource setting.

Introduction: Dengue fever (DF) is endemic in numerous regions of Indonesia with primary clinical features such as high fever as well as pullout of intravascular fluid and albumin leakage, which provokes pleural effusion, hypoproteinemia, and blood hemoconcentration. However, the incidence of abdominal pain as a clinical manifestation of DF, which refers to acalculous cholecystitis, is rare. Case presentation: An 11-year-old female was admitted to the to hospital with fever, headache, and myalgia. Blood examination resulted in low platelet coua nt and positive IgM Dengue antibody test. On the third day, the patient felt sharp abdominal pain. Abdominal ultrasound showed cholecystitis, cholestasis, pleural effusion, ascites, and laboratory finding showed increased C-reactive protein. The management was conservative and discharged at the 7th day. Discussion: The acalculous cholecystitis in Dengue Fever/Dengue Hemorrhagic fever (DF/DHF) is challenging in diagnose due to atypical presentations. Several proposed mechanisms are critical illness, including direct invasion of the gallbladder epithelial cells, vasculitis, stasis of biliary flow, obstruction of the biliary tree, ischemia, and sequestration. The actual mechanism of the dengue virus has been proposed that direct viral incursion of the gallbladder may yield edema and exudation. Abdominal ultrasonography is considered to diagnose acute acalculous cholecystitis (AAC) in children. Conclusion: Understanding pathophysiology of the acalculous cholecystitis in DF/DHF patients and atypical presentation of sharp abdominal pain help physicians for early diagnosis and management both in monitoring and patient care management. Abdominal ultrasonography can help physicians to diagnose AAC.

Association of self-reported allergic rhinitis with dengue severity: A case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The severity of dengue infection has been reportedly associated with patients' allergic reactions. To further elucidate the role of allergy in dengue severity, we conducted a matched case-control study to assess the association between allergic background and dengue shock syndrome. METHODS: This is a matched case-control study that was carried out in the Hospital for Tropical Diseases, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam from January to December 2017. Dengue infection was determined by non-structure protein 1 (NS1) diagnostic quick test or anti-dengue antibodies (IgM). The total and dengue-specific IgE levels were measured using ELISA. Patients' demographics, clinical, and allergic profiles were collected using a structured questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 572 dengue patients with positive NS1 (92.7%) or IgM antibodies (7.3%) results were included in this study. Of these patients, 143 patients developed dengue shock syndrome (case group) while the other 429 patients did not (control group). None of the baseline characteristics including age, sex, or being overweight was significantly different between the two groups (p>0.05). In multivariable analysis, having a history of dengue infection (OR=3.35, 95% CI: 1.8-6.17, p<0.001) and allergic rhinitis (OR=1.95, 95% CI: 1.11-3.4, p = 0.019) were found to be associated with dengue shock syndrome. Higher levels of dengue-specific IgE were not associated with worse outcomes in patients with allergies (p = 0.204) or allergic rhinitis (p = 0.284). CONCLUSION: Dengue patients presenting with a history of a previous dengue infection or allergic rhinitis should be considered high-risk patients for the development of dengue shock syndrome.

Atorvastatin attenuates NS1 (Non-structural protein-1) of dengue type-2 serotype-induced expressions of matrix metalloproteinases in HL-60 cells, differentiated to neutrophils: Implications for the immunopathogenesis of dengue viral disease.

BACKGROUND: The dengue is a vector borne viral infection in humans. Bite of mosquito infected with a dengue virus transmits the disease. The neutrophils support more to the innate immune response by switching to infected tissues and triggering immunomodulatory mechanisms including the release of proteases and host defence peptides. METHODS: Cell viability by MTT and trypan blue dye exclusion assay, bright field microscopy for assessment of cell morphology, cytokines measurements by ELISA, estimation of protein by Bradford assay were done. Assessments of matrix metalloproteinase genes mRNA expressions were done using real-time PCR. RESULTS: In the present study, we have for the first time unveiled that, NS1 antigen of dengue type-2 serotype, induce and stimulate the neutrophils cells to express high levels of matrix metalloproteases. NS1 exposure of HL-60 cells differentiated to neutrophils affected cell morphology and in 24 h of exposure. We have demonstrated that, the NS1 antigen has induced MMP-2, MMP-14 and MMP-9 expressions in neutrophils in a 24hrs exposure time. NS1 exposure has also further upregulated MMP-1, MMP-13, and MMP-8 expressions in neutrophils in a 24hrs exposure time. Notably, treatment with atorvastatin concentrations downregulated the expression profile of the all matrix metalloprotease significantly. Importantly, NS1 antigen has significantly increased the IL-6, IL-13 release by the HL,60 cells which was reversed by atorvastatin. On the other hand, NS1 exposure enhanced the mRNA expressions of VEGF-A and VEGF-D which was reversed by atorvastatin. However, we found that, NS1 exposure reduced the mRNA expressions profile of VEGF-C, which was reversed by atorvastatin. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, we report that, neutrophils associated matrix metalloprotease are involved in the pathogenesis of dengue viral disease. VEGF growth factors may also be released by the neutrophils which may subsequently participate in the endothelial dysfunctions leading to dengue shock syndrome.

Shapley-Additive-Explanations-Based Factor Analysis for Dengue Severity Prediction using Machine Learning.

Dengue is a viral disease that primarily affects tropical and subtropical regions and is especially prevalent in South-East Asia. This mosquito-borne disease sometimes triggers nationwide epidemics, which results in a large number of fatalities. The development of Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is where most cases occur, and a large portion of them are detected among children under the age of ten, with severe conditions often progressing to a critical state known as Dengue Shock Syndrome (DSS). In this study, we analysed two separate datasets from two different countries- Vietnam and Bangladesh, which we referred as VDengu and BDengue, respectively. For the VDengu dataset, as it was structured, supervised learning models were effective for predictive analysis, among which, the decision tree classifier XGBoost in particular produced the best outcome. Furthermore, Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) was used over the XGBoost model to assess the significance of individual attributes of the dataset. Among the significant attributes, we applied the SHAP dependence plot to identify the range for each attribute against the number of DHF or DSS cases. In parallel, the dataset from Bangladesh was unstructured; therefore, we applied an unsupervised learning technique, i.e., hierarchical clustering, to find clusters of vital blood components of the patients according to their complete blood count reports. The clusters were further analysed to find the attributes in the dataset that led to DSS or DHF.

Prognostic Indicators for the Early Prediction of Severe Dengue Infection: A Retrospective Study in a University Hospital in Thailand.

This study aimed to develop simple diagnostic guidelines which would be useful for the early detection of severe dengue infections. Retrospective data of patients with dengue infection were reviewed. Patients with diagnosed dengue infection were categorized in line with the International Statistical Classification of Diseases (ICD-10): A90, dengue fever; A91, dengue hemorrhagic fever; and A910, dengue hemorrhagic fever with shock. A total of 302 dengue-infected patients were enrolled, of which 136 (45%) were male and 166 (55%) were female. Multivariate analysis was conducted to determine independent diagnostic predictors of severe dengue infection and to convert simple diagnostic guidelines into a scoring system for disease severity. Coefficients for significant predictors of disease severity generated by ordinal multivariable logistic regression analysis were transformed into item scores. The derived total scores ranged from 0 to 38.6. The cut-off score for predicting dengue severity was higher than 14, with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.902. The predicted positive value (PPV) was 68.7% and the negative predictive value (NPV) was 94.1%. Our study demonstrates that several diagnostic parameters can be effectively combined into a simple score sheet with predictive value for the severity evaluation of dengue infection.